Latest measurements
The US National Hurricane Center classified Vance as a Category 2 hurricane on Friday, October 23. Its advisory recorded maximum sustained winds of 170 kph and placed the center 685 kilometers south-southwest of Acapulco.
Figures from Mexico’s National Water Commission, Conagua, differed slightly, listing sustained winds of 165 kph, gusts of 205 kph and northwestward movement at 7 kph. El Financiero reported that Vance was also 895 kilometers south-southeast of Manzanillo.
Forecast strength and track
Further strengthening was projected but had not yet occurred in the cited updates. The National Hurricane Center said Vance could attain major Category 3 status before Friday ended.
The center measured the hurricane’s northwestward speed at about 8 kph and expected it to maintain that direction over the weekend. Its forecast brought Vance nearer to the Puerto Vallarta area by Monday.
Conagua forecast heavy rain for Michoacán and Guerrero, showers in Oaxaca, and waves of two to three meters on the Guerrero coast. Separately, the National Hurricane Center reported that Vance’s outer bands were already channeling winds and rough seas toward the Gulf of Tehuantepec.